Over the past month, inflation growth in the country has reached 0.3%. According to analysts, by the end of November, these indicators can increase to 0.6-0.7%, while since the beginning of 2011 the prices as a whole rose by 5.5%. What awaits the country in the future? The price increase is preserved for foods such as meat and milk, while cereals and sugar have fallen cheaper. The cost of fruit and vegetable products also continued. But the fuel rises quite rapidly (diesel, for example, has risen in price by 2.3% per week). As for the Republic of Bashkortostan specifically, since January of the current year, the consumer prices for goods and services here amounted to 105.6% (for comparison, the same all -Russian indicator is 105.2%). This autumn was marked by a short period (several weeks) of the price stability of the consumer market, which prompted the Bank of Russia Directors to not change the level of refinancing rate based on an assessment of inflationary risks. Experts regard this step as evidence of successful management of inflation and targeting indicators of them in the target. Maintaining the stability of prices was based on the delayed effect of strengthening the ruble rate in the first half of the year, on reducing the growth rate of the world raw material market and a seasonal reduction in demand, as well as administrative and monetary measures. Now inflation is noticeably gaining pace. Its level, according to some experts, may exceed the annual indicator by 7%, in particular, in December the inflation rate can cross a mark of 1%. With a positive development of events, the price indicator will increase by 6.8–6.9%. The government does not yet have any specific schemes for preventing the current situation, only a favorable, at the moment, conjuncture saves. Raising tariffs for housing and communal services not in January, as before, and in July it slows down the speed of the process, but cannot have a decisive effect on it. An adverse factor is the constant rise in the cost of fuel (from the beginning of the year – by 15%), which entails an increase in transport costs and, as a result, an increase in the cost of products. According to the forecasts of the Ministry of Economic Development of the Russian Federation, inflation in November will increase to 0.6-0.7%, overtaking the October Revolution of 0.5%, the result of this year will be the level of 6.5–7%, 2012-5-6%, 2013, 2013 -Go-4.5–5.5% and 2014-4-5%. However, Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin said that “reduction of inflation is one of the main tasks of the government” and that in this area it is planned to soon achieve a decrease in the indicator to 3-3.5%.
